Which driver will win the F1 championship this year?
As of December 3, 2025, the 2025 Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship has not yet been decided. The title winner will be determined at the season finale, the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, scheduled for December 7, 2025F1 Schedule 2025 - Official Calendar of Grand Prix Racesformula1 +1.
Lando Norris is currently the Drivers' Championship leader, but the mathematical possibility of winning remains open to the top three drivers.
Following the Qatar Grand Prix on November 30, the top three drivers are separated by just 16 points. With a maximum of 26 points available in the final race (25 for a win + 1 for Fastest Lap), the title fight is historically close.
Position | Driver | Team | Points | Wins | Gap to Leader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lando Norris | McLaren | 408 | 7 | — | |
| 2 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | 396 | 7 | -12 | |
| 3 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren | 392 | 7 | -16 |
Sources: 2025 DRIVERS' STANDINGSformula1 +2
The championship will be decided at the Yas Marina Circuit. Because the top three drivers are tied on race wins (7 each)F1 2025 Driver Standings: Formula 1 Points Table & Championship Leadersmykhel , a points tie would be decided by the number of second-place finishes (countback).
The 2025 season has been defined by a three-way battle, with Norris, Verstappen, and Piastri each claiming 7 victories—a rare statistical equality entering the final roundF1 2025 Driver Standings: Formula 1 Points Table & Championship Leadersmykhel . While Norris held a larger lead earlier in the final stint, consecutive victories by Verstappen in the closing stages (Las Vegas and Qatar) have forced the championship to a final-race decider‘It’s all possible now' – Verstappen elated after ‘incredible’ Qatar victory keeps title hopes aliveformula1 +1.
Conclusion: Lando Norris is the mathematical favorite, needing only a podium to secure the title. However, Max Verstappen has the recent winning form, making the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix on December 7 the definitive decider.