No winner has been officially declared for the 2025 Honduras presidential election as of December 3, 2025. The race remains in a "technical tie" between the two leading conservative candidates, Nasry "Tito" Asfura and Salvador Nasralla, with vote counting marred by technical failures and delaysHondurans vote in election shadowed by Trump aid threatsbbc +1.

While early returns favored Asfura, later tallies have shown Nasralla taking a slim lead. The governing LIBRE party candidate, Rixi Moncada, is trailing significantly in third placeHonduras presidential race: Nasry Asfura and Salvador Nasralla neck and neckthehill +1.

Current Vote Standings (As of Dec 2-3, 2025)

The trajectory of the vote count has shifted as more precincts are processed:

• Latest Update (68% Counted): Salvador Nasralla (Liberal Party) holds a narrow lead with 40.13% of the vote compared to Nasry Asfura's 39.71%. The margin between them is approximately 9,129 votesCentrist Nasralla takes slim lead in Honduran presidential election plagued by delays as Trump alleges fraud | Reutersreuters .
• Previous Update (62% Counted): Nasralla led with 39.94% versus Asfura's 39.83%, a difference of roughly 2,000 votesConservative Salvador Nasralla leads Honduras presidential contest after pause in results reportingsfgate +1.
• Early Preliminary Results (57% Counted): The count initially stalled here due to system failures. At this stage, Asfura (National Party) led with 40% against Nasralla's 39.78%—a gap of only 515 to 4,000 votes depending on the specific moment of reportingTrump cries foul over 'technical tie' in Honduras ...aljazeera +1.

Candidates and Controversy

The election is characterized by a razor-thin margin and high geopolitical tension:

• Nasry "Tito" Asfura (National Party): The 67-year-old former mayor of Tegucigalpa was endorsed by U.S. President Donald Trump shortly before the electionTrump-backed candidate leads polls in Honduras ...timesofisrael . Trump has publicly warned that the U.S. might cut funding if his preferred candidate does not winTrump Becomes the Wild Card in Razor-Thin Honduras Election - The New York Timesnytimes .
• Salvador Nasralla (Liberal Party): A 72-year-old television host and sportscaster, Nasralla has surged in later counts. His campaign claims a larger lead of approximately 18,000 votes in their internal tracking#URGENTE -🚨 ÚLTIMA HORA 🚨🇭🇳 Son las 9:40 am. ¡Si Señor! Salvador Nasralla sigue arriba por 18,441 votos a Nasry Asfura. Actas procesadas: 79.20 %. Minuto a Minuto solo aquí. RT, Pendientes y Active Notificaciones Por Favor. #EleccionesHonduras2025 Somos #NoticiasRosales https://t.co/1A9Z5fjCKIx +1.
• Rixi Moncada (LIBRE): The candidate for the current ruling socialist party is effectively out of contention, polling around 19.18%Honduras presidential race: Nasry Asfura and Salvador Nasralla neck and neckthehill +1.

Next Steps in the Process

The National Electoral Council (CNE) has paused the digital reporting system due to "technical problems" and announced a manual count of votes to resolve the technical tieTrump cries foul over 'technical tie' in Honduras ...aljazeera .

• The CNE has up to 30 days to officially declare a final winnerHondurans vote in close presidential race overshadowed by surprise Trump intervention | PBS Newspbs .
• The winner will require a simple majority (plurality) and will assume office on January 27, 2026Honduras presidential election on knife's edge with Asfura and Nasralla tiedreuters +1.

Prediction markets have reacted to the shift, with derivative markets signaling that Nasralla flipped Asfura to become the favorite by mid-weekpolymarket . However, given the manual recount and political pressure, the final outcome remains uncertain.