Who will win the Honduras presidential election?
No winner has been officially declared for the 2025 Honduras presidential election as of December 3, 2025. The race remains in a "technical tie" between the two leading conservative candidates, Nasry "Tito" Asfura and Salvador Nasralla, with vote counting marred by technical failures and delaysHondurans vote in election shadowed by Trump aid threatsbbc +1.
While early returns favored Asfura, later tallies have shown Nasralla taking a slim lead. The governing LIBRE party candidate, Rixi Moncada, is trailing significantly in third placeHonduras presidential race: Nasry Asfura and Salvador Nasralla neck and neckthehill +1.
The trajectory of the vote count has shifted as more precincts are processed:
The election is characterized by a razor-thin margin and high geopolitical tension:
The National Electoral Council (CNE) has paused the digital reporting system due to "technical problems" and announced a manual count of votes to resolve the technical tieTrump cries foul over 'technical tie' in Honduras ...aljazeera .
Prediction markets have reacted to the shift, with derivative markets signaling that Nasralla flipped Asfura to become the favorite by mid-weekpolymarket . However, given the manual recount and political pressure, the final outcome remains uncertain.